NFL Week Three Picks

Last week, Green Bay and Pittsburgh threw me off my mark and then Miami spoiled my party on Monday. I took a bit of a step down with my straight up picks, although I still did pretty decent with a 10-6 record. Against the spread, I once again split it right down the middle with an 8-8 record. So, two weeks into the season my official records are 23-8 straight up and 15-16 against the spread. Things are starting to jell though and I'm back for week three with a much better handle on where things stand in the NFL.

However, there are two things making me sweat this week. One is the number of games with point spreads of a touchdown or more. The other is how hard it is to make a case for the underdog covering in almost all of those games. As a bettor, I love underdogs because the general public tends to bet favorites especially when they are favored big. The sportsbooks often over-compensate for that, which means that you can more often find spreads that are too high than too low. I get very nervous when there are a bunch of large point spreads and I can't justify taking those points. Unfortunately, this is one of those weeks, but I have faith in my picks.

But before we get to that, first let's go through things I liked about week two, the things I didn't like about week two, what I learned during week two, and what I already knew before week two. (READ THE ENTIRE ARTICLE ON HUBPAGES)

My Picks for the 2009 Week Three NFL Games

Sun, Sep 27	10:00 am (PST)	11:00 am (MST)	12:00 pm (CST)	1:00 pm (EST)
Favorite	Underdog	Point Spread	Straight Up	Against The Spread
New York Jets	Tennessee	2.5	New York Jets	New York Jets
Houston	Jacksonville	4.0	Houston	Jacksonville
Philadelphia	Kansas City	9.0	Philadelphia	Philadelphia
Baltimore	Cleveland	13.5	Baltimore	Cleveland
New York Giants	Tampa Bay	6.5	New York Giants	New York Giants
Washington	Detroit	6.5	Washington	Washington
Green Bay	St. Louis	6.5	Green Bay	Green Bay
Minnesota	San Francisco	7.0	San Francisco	San Francisco
New England	Atlanta	4.0	New England	New England
Sun, Sep 27	1:00 pm (PST)	2:00 pm (MST)	3:00 pm (CST)	4:00 pm (EST)
Chicago	Seattle	2.5	Seattle	Seattle
New Orleans	Buffalo	6.0	New Orleans	Buffalo
San Diego	Miami	5.5	Miami	Miami
Pittsburgh	Cincinnati	4.0	Pittsburgh	Pittsburgh
Denver	Oakland	1.5	Denver	Denver
Sun, Sep 27	5:20 pm (PST)	6:20 pm (MST)	7:20 pm (CST)	8:20 pm (EST)
Arizona	Indianapolis	2.5	Indianapolis	Indianapolis